
2024 US Presidential Election Spread Betting (See description)
23
1.7kṀ11kresolved Dec 9
Resolved
YESNorth Carolina: Trump -1.1
Resolved
YESGeorgia: Trump -1.2
Resolved
YESArizona: Trump -1.3
Resolved
YESFlorida: Trump -5.1
Resolved
YESTexas: Trump -6.5
Resolved
YESPennsylvania: Trump -0.3
Resolved
YESNevada: Trump -0.5
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YESNorth Carolina: Trump -1.6
Resolved
YESGeorgia: Trump -1.7
Resolved
YESArizona: Trump -2.3
Resolved
NOPennsylvania: Harris -0.5
Resolved
NONevada: Harris -0.7
Resolved
NOWisconsin: Harris -1
Resolved
NOMichigan: Harris -1.1
Resolved
NOMinnesota: Harris -5.9
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NOWisconsin: Harris -0.7
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NOMichigan: Harris -0.9
Popular vote margin of victory (between first and second place) in each state by percentage points.
Inspired by Nate Silver's bet: /Ziddletwix/nate-silver-100k-twitter-bet-will-t .
Spread betting explained here: https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/betting/what-is-spread-betting-everything-you-need-to-know
Spreads originally taken from https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/#influential-races on 10/9/2024 at 21:00 PST
I may add multiple lines for the same state over time
If either nominee gets replaced for some reason, this market will instead use the odds for their party replacement (i.e. "Harris" is the same as "Democratic nominee")
DM or comment with any questions
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