If the Musk/Maduro fight happens and Maduro loses, will Maduro cede power?
Plus
9
Ṁ13192030
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the fight does not happen by the next election, this market will close N/A.
If the fight happens but Maduro wins, this market will close N/A.
Assuming the fight happens, I will choose the "winner" based on my evaluation of American or international news sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election if Trump loses? 🗳️🙅♂️🚫
80% chance
Who will win the Musk/Maduro fight?
Will the dictatorship in Venezuela lose power before 2025?
13% chance
Will Elon Musk and Nicolás Maduro schedule a fight before the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro lose his mustache before he dies?
43% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro be President of Venezuela on 10 January 2025?
94% chance
Will Nicolas Maduro be alive on Jan 1, 2025
86% chance
Will Maduro win the most votes in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election if running against an opposition candidate?
12% chance
Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?
52% chance
Will Maduro invade Guiana by the end of 2024?
13% chance