https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2024/03/04/what-a-major-solar-storm-could-do-to-our-planet

(TL;DR: It would really suck.)

[...] an extreme geomagnetic storm—the swpc people call it a G5-Plus, at the upper threshold of the highest NOAA category of severity—could be a more common event than previously thought. Some scientists now believe there is an approximately twelve-per-cent chance of one striking the Earth in the next decade.

Will resolve YES if anything recognized as G5 or higher by NOAA hits Earth in the next 7 years.