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MANIFOLD
Will the Earth experience a G5 or higher geomagnetic storm? (2030)
7
Ṁ180Ṁ1.5k
resolved May 11
Resolved
YES

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2024/03/04/what-a-major-solar-storm-could-do-to-our-planet

(TL;DR: It would really suck.)

[...] an extreme geomagnetic storm—the swpc people call it a G5-Plus, at the upper threshold of the highest NOAA category of severity—could be a more common event than previously thought. Some scientists now believe there is an approximately twelve-per-cent chance of one striking the Earth in the next decade.

Will resolve YES if anything recognized as G5 or higher by NOAA hits Earth in the next 7 years.

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Funny how it didn’t end up sucking that much. Y2K all over again? Adequate response by authorities to magnet risk? Or too early to say and it could still get bad?

While I’m here, anyone know good sci-fi where an evil AGI comes online seemingly irreversibly and then gets taken out by a solar storm?

Was not expecting this

bought Ṁ300 YES

Should resolve YES: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g5-conditions-observed

bought Ṁ975 YES

@EricBolton ping

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73% chance
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