Will Trump significantly realign the Black vote in 2024?
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Ṁ907
resolved Nov 10
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NO

On a similar or greater scale of his realigning of non-college Whites in 2016 and White Hispanics in 2020. I won't be concrete to what that means as of yet, but a good boundary mark will be if reputable surveys demonstrate Trump has won more than 18% of the Black vote (Pew says he won 8% in 2020).

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I've seen enough; it didn't happen.

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