Will Trump receive at least 45% of the nonwhite vote in 2024?
Plus
18
Ṁ2500Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on the infographic in this post: https://www.natesilver.net/p/democrats-are-hemorrhaging-support
Considering only the two-party vote. I think Catalist is the best source for demographic breakdowns after the election, as exit polls have high margins of error.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the white voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 70% or larger?
22% chance
Will Black vote for Trump increase significantly from 2020 to 2024?
24% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
33% chance
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will Trump win a majority of the Jewish vote in the 2024 Presidential election?
11% chance
What will Trump's vote share be in the 2024 election?