Will the crossover point between South Korean and Israeli births happen this decade?
41%
chance
Jan 2, 2027
M$20 bet
This question resolves to Yes if Israeli births surpass South Korean ones this decade, no if otherwise. It is believed we are three years or less from Tajik births surpassing South Korean ones.
alwaysrinse
@BirthGauge for resolution criteria?
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alwaysrinse
@EnopoletusHarding Currently a ratio of like 1.5 https://twitter.com/BirthGauge/status/1532875472870297600/photo/1 The ratio goes up by a factor of ~3 every ~30 years so should be ~1.5 in like 10 years. Seems like 50-50.
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