Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly claim to have a P(doom) of less than 50% at any point before 2040?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?