Will China invade Vietnam before 2030? | Manifold

Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?

20

1kṀ2058

2029

17%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Will resolve yes if there is a significant military incursion on vietnamese soil.

China Taiwan potential conflict

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bought Ṁ100 NO

Would a military operation to Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea count resolve this as a yes? The ownership of those islands are disputed.

No. It would have to be on the mainland.

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