Will California impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
12
1kṀ2882029
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve yes if California imposes restrictions that are sufficient to prevent the training of an AI more advanced than GPT-4 before 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will California sign into law any more AI bills before July 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a war over AI before 2035?
35% chance
If Biden is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
25% chance
Will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
12% chance
Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026?
21% chance
Will California pass an AI Safety bill in 2025?
47% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will the US impose restrictions on training new advanced AIs before 2030?
14% chance
Will California's AI training data transparency law go into effect in 2026?
52% chance
Will any developed country establish a limit on compute for AI training by 2026?
21% chance
Will any large company leave California because of AI regulations? (2025)