Prompted by a market on "de facto control of Gaza" where the creator added new criteria after 290 users had invested. The probability fell 60 points in a day while nothing had changed in Israel or Gaza, because per the new criteria, most authoritarian governments and military occupations don't "de facto control" their territory.

I love Manifold but these rug pulls are aggravating. On Manifold, when you bet on something as seemingly certain as "does 1 + 1 = 2," you're mostly betting on "does the market creator have some private language in which 1 + 1 means something wholly different."

I don't expect Manifold's community manager @SirSalty to be omnipresent, but there's dozens of users with the "Trustworthy.ish" badge who could resolve these markets to N/A.

Will Manifold change its policies and stop these misresolutions?

I don't have clear criteria in mind, and I won't trade in this market. It's an "I know it when I see it" thing. This will resolve YES if Trustworthy.ish users start intervening in these markets or there's some other policy, cultural or technical reform which will ameliorate this source of outside view uncertainty.