Will Caleb Ewan surpass Nacer Bouhanni in the ProCyclingStats "All Time Ranking" before retiring?
7
102Ṁ1314
resolved May 6
Resolved
NO

Nacer Bouhanni has announced retirement at the end of 2023. Will Caleb Ewan surpass his career result?

Resolves based on ProCyclingStats.com "All Time Ranking" pages.

https://www.procyclingstats.com/rankings/me/all-time

If this page URL moves or changes, resolves based on whatever the obvious new source is.

If this All Time ranking is no longer available in any form when Caleb Ewan retires, we will look for a new source.

Resolves at the end of the season Ewan announces retirement. If he races again after that, we won't go back and re-resolve.

  • Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated they may perform a provisional resolution if Caleb Ewan announces his retirement.

    • If such a provisional resolution is made, and Caleb Ewan subsequently starts racing again before the end of that season (i.e., the season of the retirement announcement), the market will be reopened for trading and/or re-resolved.

    • This clarifies how an early retirement announcement and a subsequent return to racing within the same season would be handled, complementing the primary rule that resolution occurs at the end of the season Ewan announces retirement.

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@RedzoneITG Hm, the market says it resolves at the end of the season he announces retirement.

I think I'm capable of bending the rules enough to do a provisional resolution -- if he starts racing again before the end of the season we are honor bound to come here and reopen trading and/or re-resolve.

Looks like someone is drinking the "he's never coming back" kool-aid.

Ewan's best result so far this year is a 1st place at the 2.Pro Tour of Oman. He is expected to start the Giro d'Italia this week and should have some opportunities to win stages in the race.

Currently:

Ewan is ranked 150th, 485.8 points.

Bouhanni is ranked 138th, 512.9 points.

The points methodology is at the top of the linked page.

@Eliza Some examples of what the points gain might be based on Ewan's 2023 results:

  • Won a 1.1 for 7.5 points

  • 2nd in a 1.1 for 2.75 points

  • 3rd in a TDF stage for 1.666 points

  • 2nd in a TDF stage for 3.75 points

Since he's about 27 points short, he'll need multiple results like this to get past Bouhanni.

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