This concerns your activity on prediction markets involving "real money" rather than Manifold's play money system. Yes, the "real money" version of Manifold does count for this question.
Pick the option that best describes your situation. I am especially interested in your "all time" result.
(If you got "free" money from the start of the Manifold Cash experiment don't count that money, just whether you gained or lost from it.)
Some other sites that have real money prediction markets include Kalshi and Polymarket.
Let me know if there is other important info in the comment section below.
1,000People are also trading
Ah interesting, @SemioticRivalry has made at least $100?! No wonder he’s the top trader on Manifold. There should have been a $200 or more bucket here so we could further refine his total PNL.
@Eliza if you made a market like "in the first 6 months of betting on real money markets, will I make money" I'd bet it up to about 80%.