Will Hayao Miyazaki win an Oscar in 2024?
Basic
32
Ṁ7126
resolved Mar 11
Resolved
YES

Hayao Miyazaki won a Golden Globe for The Boy and The Heron. Will he win an Oscar?

A better way to frame this question is: Will the movie The Boy and The Heron win an Oscar in 2024?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 YES

lets go! finally a big profit!

(relatively)

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Qoiuoiuoiu Lol yup I just messed up with a very major misclick that’s why the probability was so low. Happens! (But quite a pricey misclick)

@Ziddletwix ahh :)

@Ziddletwix I see you spam bought "no"

@Ziddletwix Prob was so low I made M700 in profit by betting M30

@Qoiuoiuoiu yup =). make good use of my mana! (kidding, bound to happen eventually, & on net trying to click too fast probably paid off enough in other markets lol)

I’m tryna rebalance my portfolio a bit here (between different Oscars markets) so I will happily buy more NO—if people liked it at 50% it’ll be a bargain at 38% imo

he? or the film? (or both/either?)

@shankypanky Let's say him or the film

@ElisaCafferata So just to make sure I follow, this question is equivalent to "will the boy and the heron win any Oscars in 2024"? I.e. if the film wins for original score, the award would go to Joe Hisaishi, but IIUC this question would still resolve YES? (as his film won an Oscar). And there are no other films this year that would qualify for this outside of boy & the heron, right?

predictedYES

@Ziddletwix Yes. Will "The boy and the heron" win any Oscars in 2024 is a better way to state this question.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules