Criteria:
This market resolves YES if a photograph depicting Trump and Bill Clinton engaged in sexual relations is publicly released and verified by major news outlets.
This market resolves NO if no such photograph is released by the resolution date. A censored photo still resolves to YES.
Resolves NO if no photo is revealed by June 2026.
Background
In recently released emails Mark Epstein suggested Jeffrey Epstein asks Steve Bannon if Russian President Vladimir Putin has "the photos of Trump blowing Bubba."
Considerations
The referenced email from Mark Epstein remains cryptic and unverified. He did not provide any additional details about the identity of "Bubba" or the meaning of the emails. No credible evidence of such a photograph has surfaced despite extensive scrutiny of the Epstein files. The market hinges on whether any authentic image matching this description will ever be publicly released.
I will bet on this market.
Update 2025-11-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on "Bubba" identity: The photo must specifically show Trump and Bill Clinton (not any other person nicknamed "Bubba") for YES resolution.
Authenticity disputes: If a photo is released from a reputable source and broadly considered authentic, mere claims that it is AI-generated will not prevent YES resolution. The creator will use their judgment to assess authenticity in disputed cases.
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This market resolves YES if a photograph depicting Trump and Bill Clinton engaged in sexual relations is publicly released and verified by major news outlets.
How will this resolve if a photo is released but Bubba is not Bill Clinton and Trump 'claims' it is AI even if it clearly is not (metadata confirms, no signs of tampering)
@RahulShah this market specifically tracks Trump and Bill Clinton. If a photo is not released showing Trump fellating Bill Clinton it will resolve false.
If there is dispute over the authenticity of the image I will use my judgment. A mere claim that an image is AI generated, if the image is otherwise from a reputable source/broadly considered authentic, will not significantly impact resolution.
@Dulaman Sure, plausible, but this market also requires their public release, which may not happen even if they exist.