Assuming a misaligned AI outbreak inadvertently kill >1 million people by 2035, who will be at fault?
8
395Ṁ265
2035
5%
xAI
5%
Deepmind
15%
OpenAI
3%
A university-sponsored research team
42%
A state-sponsored research team
11%
Meta
20%
Other

Resolves to whichever company designed the first model to kill >1 million people. If on such outbreak does not occur, resolves N/A.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

If a Chinese company (with typical amounts of CCP funding/control for state goals) designed the model, how does this resolve? State or Other?

@RobertCousineau Something on the order of Baidu/Alibaba/Tencent will resolve to State. If it isn't clear which it is, I'll poll Lesswrong and resolve it to the common consensus.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules