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MANIFOLD
How warm will European winter of 2026-2027 be?
2
Ṁ1kṀ657
2027
0.76 °C
expected
7%
Below 0.0°C
18%
0.0 - 0.49°C
57%
0.5 - 0.99°C
7%
1.0 - 1.49°C
6%
1.5 - 1.99°C
5%
Above 2.0°C

This market resolves to European-mean surface air temperature anomaly for December-February period relative to 1991–2020 winters, according to https://climate.copernicus.eu

Chart for previous winters is available at https://climate.copernicus.eu/surface-air-temperature-february-2026 in section "Boreal winter – December 2025 to February 2026"

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