When will the first model reach 50% on ARC-AGI-3?
4
Ṁ175Ṁ1072029
July 28, 2031
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
18%
Before July 1 2026
24%
Before January 1 2027
50%
Before July 1 2027
50%
Before January 1 2028
50%
Before July 1 2028
62%
Before January 1 2029
50%
Any time after January 1 2029
I'll use the verified leaderboard at https://arcprize.org/leaderboard as the authoritative source of scores - claims that aren't officially verified don't count for this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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