Will AI agents be used to develop software commercially by the end of 2023?
Will AI be a major topic during the 2024 presidential debates in the United States?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Will there have been a noticeable sector-wide economic effect from a new AI technology by the end of 2023?
Will any AI solve >=50 IMO problems by the start of 2024?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
Will Science's Top Breakthrough of the Year in 2023 be AI-related?
Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2040?
🐕 Will A.I. Be Able to Make Significantly Better, "Common Sense Judgements About What Happens Next," by End of 2023?
Short Term AI 2.5: By January 2024, will there be a usable, general AI assistant?
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?
Will anyone very famous claim to have made an important life decision because an AI suggested it by the end of 2023?
By 2025, will Google be in a winning position in the "AI war" against Microsoft?
Will a robot that employs an AI that combines an LLM and a knowledge model be publicly available before January 1, 2024?
Will AI pass the Winograd schema challenge by the end of 2023?
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
Will AI spread through malware before 2025?
Will there be another widely reported sentient AI by the end of CY2023?