Will I weight more than 200 pounds in 2 years?
Mini
2
21
2025
35%
chance

I'm making a series of markets related to how much weight I'll be able to lose. This market's goal is to get at the probability that I will regain any weight that I have lost.

I won't be using the markets as incentive or hedging but I will trade on them to better reflect accurate probabilities

I will weight myself on my bathroom scale. For reference I am currently 197lbs.

Get Ṁ600 play money