Will I weight more than 200 pounds in 2 years?
Basic
2
Ṁ21
2025
35%
chance

I'm making a series of markets related to how much weight I'll be able to lose. This market's goal is to get at the probability that I will regain any weight that I have lost.

I won't be using the markets as incentive or hedging but I will trade on them to better reflect accurate probabilities

I will weight myself on my bathroom scale. For reference I am currently 197lbs.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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