Will I weight more than 200 pounds in 2 years?
6
70Ṁ1282resolved May 10
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm making a series of markets related to how much weight I'll be able to lose. This market's goal is to get at the probability that I will regain any weight that I have lost.
I won't be using the markets as incentive or hedging but I will trade on them to better reflect accurate probabilities
I will weight myself on my bathroom scale. For reference I am currently 197lbs.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ59 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 | |
| 3 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I weigh more than 180 lbs at the end of FY 2025?
24% chance
will i weight more than 75kg at the end f the 2025 (first year of work)
58% chance
Will I be able to deadlift 2x my own weight by the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will my average weight be under 100 lbs in 2024?
26% chance
Will I be alive in 2 years time?
88% chance
Will the average American man weigh >200lbs in 2030?
25% chance
How much will I weigh at the end of 2024?
Will I live to be 200 years old?
18% chance
Will I live to be at least 200 years old?
15% chance