Will I weigh 160lbs at the end of October?

Question

I have historically been underweight, but have been trying to gain weight recently. At the time of creating this market, I weigh 150.4 lbs.

On the morning of October 31, I will weigh myself. If the result is >160 lbs, resolves YES, and if <=160 lbs, resolves NO. I will post daily updates.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 30% chance (4 traders, as of Sep 30, 2026).

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