On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
34
1.3kṀ9855
resolved Jun 12
100%98.8%Other
0.2%
Delta Air Lines
0.1%
Malaysia Airlines
0.1%
Southwest Airlines
0.1%
American Airlines
0.1%
United Airlines
0.1%
China Southern Airlines
0.2%
Lufthansa Group
0.1%
Aeroflot (Russian airlines)
0.1%
Frontier airlines
0.1%
No airline involved

Resolves 100% to whichever airline has the next airline disaster with more than 200 fatalities (as defined by this wikipedia article).

I will ignore vandalism. If there is uncertainty about numbers of causalities I will wait to resolve until we know more

  • Update 2025-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Inclusion Scope Update:

    • The market now considers aviation disasters as defined in the referenced Wikipedia article. This includes incidents involving military aircraft.

    • An option for no airlines involved will be added, to account for disasters where no airline is operated.

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