Resolves 100% to whichever airline has the next airline disaster with more than 200 fatalities (as defined by this wikipedia article).
I will ignore vandalism. If there is uncertainty about numbers of causalities I will wait to resolve until we know more
Update 2025-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Inclusion Scope Update:
The market now considers aviation disasters as defined in the referenced Wikipedia article. This includes incidents involving military aircraft.
An option for no airlines involved will be added, to account for disasters where no airline is operated.
1,000Does this include military aviation incidents, or only commercial? The title says "aviation disaster" (implies either), but the description says "airline disaster" (implies commercial).
e.g. the most recent incident with over 200 fatalities was a military transport crash: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Algerian_Air_Force_Ilyushin_Il-76_crash
@jcb Good question, it’s aviation disaster. That military transport crash is listed in the wikipedia article linked in the description as well. I’ll add “no airlines involved” as an option and I believe that resolves the inconsistency