On which airline will the next major aviation disaster occur?
34
1.3kṀ9855resolved Jun 12
100%98.8%Other
0.2%
Delta Air Lines
0.1%
Malaysia Airlines
0.1%
Southwest Airlines
0.1%
American Airlines
0.1%
United Airlines
0.1%
China Southern Airlines
0.2%
Lufthansa Group
0.1%
Aeroflot (Russian airlines)
0.1%
Frontier airlines
0.1%
No airline involved
Resolves 100% to whichever airline has the next airline disaster with more than 200 fatalities (as defined by this wikipedia article).
I will ignore vandalism. If there is uncertainty about numbers of causalities I will wait to resolve until we know more
Update 2025-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Inclusion Scope Update:
The market now considers aviation disasters as defined in the referenced Wikipedia article. This includes incidents involving military aircraft.
An option for no airlines involved will be added, to account for disasters where no airline is operated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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