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"The October global surface temperature was 1.34°C (2.41°F) above the 20th-century average of 14.0°C (57.1°F), making it the warmest October on record. This was 0.24°C (0.43°F) above the previous record from October 2015."

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202310

@Duncn resolve please

https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-there-be-a-white-christmas-in?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?

40% chance. For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%: 2022: 53% White Christmas 2021: 26.6% 2020: 26.5% 2019: 28.1% 2018: 24.6% 2017: 49% This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

In 2022, the lowest temperature was 9.3 Celcius that means that is look as the fourth warmest October. So for this year we expect to have another important increase in the normal weather that fall season may have. Also we know that the last august 2023, was one the warmest august of the last years.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/202210#:~:text=October%202022%20was%20the%20fourth,ten%20warmest%20Octobers%20on%20record.

October 2022 Global Climate Report | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

An analysis of global temperatures and precipitation, placing the data into a historical perspective

A poll for what the temperature will be at the end of the month (ends in a week)

https://manifold.markets/parhizj/cfsr-world-2m-temp-deg-c-oct-31-202-26c63fa2b0a8

CFSR World 2m Temp (deg C) @ Oct. 31, 2023

What will the 2m temp be for Oct. 31, 2023? https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/?dm_id=world https://climatereanalyzer.org/clim/t2_daily/json/cfsr_world_t2_day.json

If you prefer to bet on how hot

https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/pays-2-for-each-001c-october-2023-t

Pays 2% for each 0.01C October 2023 temperature anomaly is above 1.00C per Gistemp versus 1951-1980 base period

50% chance. Data in no smoothing column at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv or https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt (or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data) Resolution If the anomaly versus 1951 to 1980 base period per gistemp LOTI is reported as 1.50C or higher this claim pays 100% If the anomaly versus 1951 to 1980 base period per gistemp LOTI is reported as 1.00C or lower this claim pays 0% If 1.01C claims pays 2% If 1.02C claims pays 4% and so on.