Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?
63
338
1.1K
resolved Dec 25
Resolved
NO

For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%:

2022: 53% White Christmas

2021: 26.6%

2020: 26.5%

2019: 28.1%

2018: 24.6%

2017: 49%

This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ260
2Ṁ132
3Ṁ123
4Ṁ109
5Ṁ64
Sort by:
predicted NO

Not only was it way below 30%, but this was the least "white" American Christmas since NOHRSC records began 20 years ago.

predicted YES

It's only 7am on the west coast, why did resolve already?

predicted NO

@MagWildwood agreed, though it seems unlikely we'll get to 30% today

predicted NO

Just 14.6% on the Eve, but good luck to the system over the Plains!

10 day outlook... not looking promising!

predicted YES

Great market. Sorta similar:

@BlueDragon Love it!

Mid 40's today from Duluth to Chicago... One good system could change it all though!

predicted NO

It’s currently several points lower than el Niño years that eventually broke 30 (by Christmas).

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Midwest and Northeast looking too dry.

@thepurplebull Yep. Here in the northern midwest we have had several snows that all melted within a day or two. No snow cover here.

3 weeks away- we are at 17.5% snow cover.