As per NOAA's global report for March, will March 2024 be the hottest recorded March? Note that this will close at the end of the month, but will only resolve once the results are officially posted.
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>March 2024 was the warmest March on record for the globe in NOAA's 175-year record. The March global surface temperature was 1.35°C (2.43°F) above the 20th-century average of 12.7°C (54.9°F). This is 0.01°C ( °F) warmer than the previous March record set in 2016, and the tenth consecutive month of record-high global temperatures.
Given how close it ended up being, I still think this was overvalued.
@ChristopherRandles Polymarket also has a similar question, currently at 47%, but again slightly different resolution criteria. https://polymarket.com/event/will-2024-have-the-hottest-march-on-record/will-2024-have-the-hottest-march-on-record?tid=1710739141534
@MugaSofer The difference in resolution criteria does not seem to explain the difference in price unless I am mistaken?
nvm