Global Average Temperature per gistemp LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period
8
94
Ṁ5KṀ265
resolved Apr 10
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolved
YESMarch 2024 exceeds +1.2C
Resolved
YESMarch 2024 exceeds +1.3C
Resolved
NOMarch 2024 exceeds +1.4C
Data is currently at
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.csv
or
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
(or such updated location for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
January 2024 might show as 122 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.22C above the 1951-1980 base period. If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C. Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.
If the version or base period changes then I will consult with traders over what is best way for any such change to have least effect on betting positions or consider N/A if it is unclear what the sensible least effect resolution should be.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ94 | |
| 2 | Ṁ85 | |
| 3 | Ṁ29 | |
| 4 | Ṁ9 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
Related questions
Will average world temperature for 2024 be higher than 2023?
61% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2024 exceed 2023?
61% chance
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.8
How will the average global temperature in 2024 compare to 2023? (as reported by NASA)
Will Earth be at least 2.2˚C warmer in 2100 than in 1880?
72% chance
Will the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
62% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
40% chance