What non-scheduled event will happen last, but before 2023?
6
540Ṁ25
resolved Jan 1
100%3%
Shark kills someone
67%Other
3%
Queen Elizabeth dies
3%
Meteor strike kills someone
0.0%
another public figure/celeb gets slapped and this becomes a meme
3%
Snow in North Carolina
0.0%
Snow in Wisconsin
11%
Snow in England
11%
Snow in Scotland
When I read the responses at the end of 2022, what event will have happened most recently? Scheduled and highly predictable events (e.g., Christmas, The 2022 United States elections) or that cannot be confirmed through a simple Google search or stated reference site (e.g., no "I will dance the Macarana", but "the total crypto market cap will pass 1000B according to coinmarketcap" is fine) Close date updated to 2022-11-30 11:59 pm
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@MartinRandall I'm not sure when the last shark attack was -- on December 20, 2022, Kristine Allen disappeared in Hawaii, and people are suspecting a shark attack. However, there was another, confirmed death on Sept 28th, in South Africa, which is after the Queen died. This appears to be the winner.

@MartinRandall Snow in the mountains of NC is common: "Snow in North Carolina is seen on a regular basis in the mountains. North Carolina averages 5 inches (130 mm) of snow per winter season"

@MartinRandall The Scottish highlands get snow up to 100 days a year. This is not unexpected.

@MartinRandall Okay: "In Birmingham [UK], in December, snow falls for 1.9 days, with typically accumulated 11mm (0.43") of snow." (https://www.weather-atlas.com/en/united-kingdom/birmingham-weather-december). I am taking this as 'it typically snows in December in Birmingham, England'; the chances of snow in England overall is therefore 'greater than' 'typically' expected.

@Duncan I think that's a mean, not median, fwiw

@Duncan makes sense
@MartinRandall "Snow on December 12th" may not be highly predictable, but "Snow in Wisconsin before the end of the year" is.
@Duncan but when it shows for the first time each winter is not "highly predictable", unlike a US election, or Christmas.
@MartinRandall Au contraire! Fog in London is the canonical example of a predictable event. Snow in Wisconsin during the winter sounds like it falls into that category.
I suppose snow from a show machine is predictable. I was thinking of natural snow, falling from the sky and touching the ground.
@Duncan Weather is the canonical example of an unpredictable event, isn't it?
@MartinRandall Are you going to make me define "highly predictable events"? I don't /want/ to have to research how often it snows in various places. :-P

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