Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that before January 1st 2027 Omen/Presagio achieves any one of the following on Gnosis Chain:
Users: In any rolling 30-day window, ≥ 5,000 unique wallets executed at least one filled buy/sell trade on an Omen/Presagio market and each such wallet had ≥ $100 USD-equivalent cumulative trading volume in that window; OR
Volume: In any rolling 30-day window, total trading volume ≥ $25,000,000 USD-equivalent across Omen/Presagio markets.
Scope & definitions
“Omen/Presagio markets” means markets accessible via the official Omen and/or Presagio front-ends (or their clearly announced successors) that use the Gnosis Conditional Tokens + FPMM stack on Gnosis Chain. Testnets and unrelated forks are excluded.
“Trading volume” counts filled trades of outcome tokens (AMM swaps); LP deposit/withdrawal amounts do not count as volume.
“Unique wallets” are distinct addresses that performed at least one filled buy/sell during the window (LP-only addresses don’t count toward the user threshold).
Evidence & data sources (any two are sufficient)
Official Omen/Presagio stats pages, if available.
Dune/Flipside dashboards querying the relevant contracts.
The Graph indexer or Gnosis Chain explorers showing per-address trades and aggregate volume.
Snapshots from reputable community analytics (must include methodology).
USD conversion: Use the spot rate at the time of each trade (as reported by the analytics source).
Anti-gaming: The resolver may exclude obvious wash-trading or scripted circular activity designed solely to inflate counts/volume, with on-chain evidence.
Resolution: If neither condition is met by 00:00 UTC on Jan 1, 2027, resolves NO. If the stack/brand rebrands but continuity is clear, this market still applies.
1,000