Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, prior to January 1, 2029 (11:59 PM ET), federal legislation containing substantially the provisions of the John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act (or a combined omnibus package such as the Freedom to Vote Act incorporating it) is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the President (or enacted via congressional veto override).

If no such legislation is enacted into law before January 1, 2029, this market resolves to NO.

The official record of legislation on Congress.gov will serve as the primary source of truth.

Background

The John R. Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act seeks to restore and modernize key enforcement provisions of the Voting Rights Act of 1965, primarily the preclearance formula struck down by the Supreme Court in Shelby County v. Holder (2013) and clarified protections regarding discriminatory intent and impact following Brnovich v. DNC (2021).

Previous iterations—frequently paired with broader election and campaign finance reforms in packages like the Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act—passed the House in earlier Congresses but failed to overcome the 60-vote filibuster threshold in the Senate. Passage during or before the 120th Congress would depend on unified legislative support or potential revisions to Senate filibuster rules regarding voting rights legislation.