Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if federal legislation officially titled the "NO FAKES Act" (or a substantially equivalent bill establishing a federal intellectual property right in an individual's voice and visual likeness against unauthorized AI digital replicas) is enacted into law—meaning passed by both houses of the U.S. Congress and signed by the President (or enacted over a presidential veto / without signature)—during the second Trump presidential term (January 20, 2025 through January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST).

This market resolves to NO if no such legislation is enacted into federal law by the end of the second Trump administration.

Enactment status will be verified using official congressional data from Congress.gov or official published presidential record databases.

Background

The Nurture Originals, Foster Art, and Keep Entertainment Safe (NO FAKES) Act is bipartisan federal legislation aimed at establishing a licensable federal property right protecting individuals' voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized AI-generated digital replicas ("deepfakes"). Originally introduced in draft form in 2023, revised versions of the bill have gained bipartisan momentum in Congress. Supporters include civil rights groups, creative industry bodies like SAG-AFTRA and the Recording Academy, and major tech companies, while opponents and digital rights groups have raised concerns regarding potential First Amendment and fair-use implications.