Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, as of January 1, 2050, Google exists in at least one of the following forms:
Corporate Entity: Google LLC (or its parent entity Alphabet Inc., or a direct corporate successor resulting from a merger, acquisition, or corporate restructuring) remains registered as an active corporate entity in good standing.
Operational Brand/Service: The brand "Google" is actively utilized, and a search or informational service is publicly accessible via the domain
google.com(or an officially designated successor domain).
This market resolves to NO if, by January 1, 2050, Google LLC, Alphabet Inc., and any direct legal successors have been dissolved or liquidated, and the "Google" brand/search engine has been completely and permanently retired.
Verification Sources:
Delaware Division of Corporations business entity search: corp.delaware.gov
Active availability and operation of google.com
Background
Originally founded in 1998, Google underwent a major corporate restructuring in 2015 that established Alphabet Inc. as the parent holding company, with Google LLC operating as its primary subsidiary. Over the multi-decade horizon leading to 2050, potential drivers of change include major technological shifts (such as generative AI), antitrust-driven corporate breakups, or standard corporate rebranding and restructuring. This market tracks whether the corporate entity or its flagship consumer-facing brand survives these long-term shifts.
1,000