MANIFOLD
Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?
34
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
2031
89%
chance

As of 2023, Google Search has 91% market share in search engine, when the second most popular search engine only has 3% market share

https://www.reliablesoft.net/top-10-search-engines-in-the-world/

Will Google Search still be the most popular search engine by 2030?

Data source for resolution not determined yet. In 2030 myself or a mod will find a credible data source on users statistics of popular search engines and resolve this market base on that.

Inspired by this poll of @firstuserhere :

  • Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): LLMs (Large Language Models) are not considered search engines for the purposes of this market's resolution.

Market context
Technology
Internet
Google
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@creator Are LLMs search engines?

@Quroe no

bought Ṁ30 NO

This is globally, right?

@RemNi Globally. We might run into problem of not being able to measure usage statistics for chinese search engine. But regardless, the question is asking globally

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