Resolution criteria

• This market resolves to YES if, at any point between Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, and the end of his second presidential term (or January 20, 2029, whichever comes first), every individual serving as a Democratic member of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate) is sentenced to and incarcerated in a federal or state prison or detention facility.

• Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

• "Democrat lawmakers" refers specifically to sitting Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senate during the second Trump administration. If any single Democratic member serves without being imprisoned, or leaves office without being imprisoned during this timeframe, the condition is not met and the market resolves to NO.

• Resolution will be verified via reporting from major reputable news organizations (e.g., AP News, Reuters) and official court/Bureau of Prisons records.

Background

• In the 119th U.S. Congress (convening January 2025), Democrats hold over 200 seats in the House of Representatives and 47 seats in the Senate caucus.

• Federal lawmakers are protected by the Speech or Debate Clause of the U.S. Constitution (Article I, Section 6), as well as statutory due process requirements, indictment by grand juries, and trial procedures prior to any incarceration.