Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if any single released or credited to Bruno Mars reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart (ranked by sales, streaming, and radio airplay in the U.S.) at any point during 2026. The single must be officially released in 2026 or earlier. Resolution will be verified via the Billboard Hot 100 chart at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/. Collaborations count toward resolution.

Background

Bruno Mars released "I Just Might" on January 9, 2026, as the lead single from his upcoming fourth solo studio album The Romantic, scheduled for release on February 27, 2026. This is his first solo album since 24K Magic (2016). Mars has nine Billboard Hot 100 number-one singles, and his 2025 duet with Lady Gaga, "Die with a Smile," topped the Billboard Hot 100 for five non-consecutive weeks.

Considerations

Critics have noted that "I Just Might" returns to Mars's signature style with its old-school soul feel and radio-friendly groove, though it does not radically reinvent his sound. The album features no guest appearances, distinguishing it from his recent collaborative successes.