Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if at least three (3) unique songs occupy the #1 position on the official Billboard Hot 100 charts with issue dates between June 14, 2026, and July 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

The six weekly charts with official issue dates within this timeframe are:

• June 20, 2026

• June 27, 2026

• July 4, 2026

• July 11, 2026

• July 18, 2026

• July 25, 2026

If a song reaches #1 on any of these six weekly charts, it counts toward the total. If the total number of unique songs that hold the #1 spot across these weeks is 3 or more, the market resolves to YES.

Source of Truth: The official weekly charts hosted on Billboard Hot 100. In the event of temporary schedule delays or adjustments by Billboard, the charts corresponding to the tracking weeks for these specific dates will be used for resolution.

Background

The Billboard Hot 100 is the standard measure of song popularity in the United States, compiled weekly using data from streaming, radio airplay, and retail sales. At the start of the 2026 chart year, Billboard adjusted its recurrent rules to move older, declining songs off the charts faster, potentially clearing the path for more frequent changes at the top of the chart. However, dominant multi-week hits can still block new music from reaching the top spot. This market tracks whether early summer 2026 will see high turnover at #1 or be dominated by one or two major releases.

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