Will Israel Take the Khan Younis City Hall by December 15th?
68
467
1K
resolved Dec 16
Resolved
NO

This is a market on whether the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will take possession of the Khan Younis City Hall in southern Gaza (also called municipality; located at: 31°20'39.0"N 34°18'34.5"E) according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) by December 15th. A link to the ISW's map is here. The area of the map including the Khan Younis City Hall must be shaded light blue, the color indicating "Reported Israeli Clearing Operations". Note that "Claimed Israeli Further Advances" will not count as Israeli control. If the ISW's map doesn't exist this will resolve according to other ISW reporting or, if the ISW does not comment on it, based on other credible news sources. If no credible sources report that the city hall in Khan Younis has been taken, the market resolves to "No". This market will resolve based on the Insight Prediction market here: https://insightprediction.com/m/247060/will-israel-take-khan-younis-city-hall-by-december-15th

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predicted NO

It’s the 16th. Did the IDF possess the Town Hall by yesterday?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

I believe they are one block away according to the map. But it's been that way for several days.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Hard to price this one. Tight deadline, but the IDF seems to be doing what it wants in Gaza thus far, and reports that an invasion of the south has already begun.