[Will Mamdani win?] x [Will the murder rate increase in NYC?]
12
100Ṁ2412029
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
31%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate increases
58%
Mamdani wins + Murder rate decreases
6%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate increases
5%
Mamdani loses + Murder rate decreases
Murder rate comparison will be between:
The four years before the next mayoral election
The four years after the next mayoral election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
If the New York City mayoral election is between Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani, who will win?
If Zohran Mamdani is elected Mayor of New York City, who will be his First Deputy Mayor?
Which NYC boroughs will Zohran Mamdani win? (General election)
Who will Manifold vote as the winner of the first NYC mayoral debate?
Will Zohran Mamdani receive a majority of the votes cast in the November NYC mayoral election?
65% chance
What boroughs will Zohran Mamdani win in the NYC mayoral election?
Who will win the NYC mayoral general election?
What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
Which People Will Endorse Zohran Mamdani for NYC Mayor