Will by the end of 2022 the official consensus be that the COVID 19 pandemic was most likely result of a lab leak.

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resolved Jan 1

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Will resolve "YES" if the majority of main stream media reports on the origin of SARS-CoV-2 state it as most likely that it spread after a security breach in any laboratory.

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https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10/covid-origins-investigation-wuhan-lab

predictedYES

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.10.18.512756v1.full

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There is no incentive for the US to report it as such as it will only increase tensions with China and reflect poorly on the US for taking part in the funding of said labs.