RESOLVES YES:
If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is available to the public through Google products, including search, ads, and Bard, etc.
There MUST be a product/app/extension offered that someone can use on desktop, web, or mobile to be able to confirm proof of the release. This could be myself, or another Manifold user.
Free or Paid counts, as long as it fits the criteria of Gemini Ultra.
(Ie., much like when ChatGPT was released on web first, than mobile app stores. Either of similar would resolve YES.)
RESOLVES NO:
If an announcement of release is made by Alphabet/Google and the use is not available to the public and only available to Corporate Customers, Developers, Enterprise, Partners, etc.
NOTES:
The Close Time Is The Deadline.
I may defer judgement to a third party individual of my choosing should anything be determined to be unclear.
CLARIFICATIONS:
12/08/2023 : Needs To Be Available To US Customers at a minimum.
CONTEXT
Gemini: A Family of Highly Capable Multimodal Models
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FDj7YnTmshX.png?alt=media&token=53aab076-c466-461a-b32f-b9c419b9532b)
DISCLAIMER
I DO NOT PARTICIPATE IN MARKETS I CREATE
DO NOT TRADE OFF OF UNCONFIRMED MARKET NEWS OR NEWS YOU MAY NOT UNDERSTAND. I AM NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR MISUNDERSTANDING IF YOU DO NOT ASK FOR CLARIFICATION FIRST.
If Any Clarification Is Needed, I May Temporarily Close The Market To Make Clarifying Statements & Than Re-Open ; Feel Free To Ask For Clarification Through Messages Rather Than Making A Comment. Comments are not a clarification unless posted into the description.
BEFORE END OF MARCH MARKET:
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@jim really? I'm chatting with it about code and it's doing some dumb things I wouldn't expect from GPT-4
@chrisjbillington well it's a bit too early to say for sure. It's very good at following instructions and creative problem solving. Need to do more testing to see exactly how it compares.
probably Feb 7, but this is strong evidence that it would be sometime during Feb
for reference, on Feb 1st they released imagen-2 for bard
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FoRqZESgh2I.png?alt=media&token=082c8be7-5e8f-43e1-809c-250c081cfa9b)
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FS6ubq4poxb.png?alt=media&token=bc583fca-e1d0-4cc8-8323-eb76236e5467)