Will the US be a democracy in 2050? | Manifold

Will the US be a democracy in 2050?

Plus

102

Ṁ2993

2050

84%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018

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Betting no because I think singularity has odds of >20% by then anyway.

predicts YES

bet yes because, despite agreeing, you get more fakemoney by predicting the crowd

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