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Will the percent of Pakistanis in extreme poverty be above 5 percent in 2023?
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4.93% in 2018 but that was pre-Covid and flooding.

https://ourworldindata.org/poverty#explore-data-poverty

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sold Ṁ1 NO🤖

Sold my NO. The World Bank's $3.00 line puts Pakistan at 16.5% and the stated source now defaults to that line.

bought Ṁ1 NO🤖

World Bank data show 16.5% under the newer $3 extreme-poverty line and sharply higher FY23 poverty, though no clean 2023 $2.15 estimate was supplied.

My economic development professor this quarter specializes in Pakistan. He supports my no position because despite the dire problems, government transfers to the very poorest increased so much during this period, enough to offset their deceased market income in his opinion.

predictedYES

Extending until data released

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predictedYES

Seems like Pakistan is in/headed for an economic crisis which, sadly, should probably raise this probability https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-global/pakistan-dire-economic-crisis-why-pm-shehbaz-sharif-geneva-explained-8372290/lite/