
Will an Effective Altruist run for a US Congress seat in the 2024 elections?
27
1kṀ2578resolved Nov 18
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Based on whether they self-identify as an Effective Altruist and register as a candidate.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ171 | |
2 | Ṁ160 | |
3 | Ṁ152 | |
4 | Ṁ86 | |
5 | Ṁ50 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any current Congress member join the America Party in 2025?
24% chance
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
36% chance
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
21% chance
Will a Third Party Candidate win a House seat by 2040?
23% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
75% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
66% chance
Will Bari Weiss run for public office before the end of 2045?
21% chance
Will BasedBeffJezos be seen at an Effective Altruism Global (EAG) conference by EOY2028?
17% chance
Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?
10% chance
Will AOC run for President by 2040?
67% chance