Resolution criteria

This resolution will be determined by GiveWell's published "best guess" population estimate for the Democratic Republic of Congo on January 1st, 2027, measured in millions of people. Resolution will reference GiveWell's official research pages, cost-effectiveness analyses, or grant documentation where such estimates appear.

Background

GiveWell regularly incorporates population estimates into its cost-effectiveness analyses for programs operating in the DRC, particularly for malaria prevention interventions.

Considerations

Population estimates for the DRC vary significantly across sources. There can be meaningful variation in population estimates provided by different data sources, and the most accurate source is highly dependent on country context, requiring significant expertise to assess reliability. GiveWell's specific methodology and which data sources it prioritizes for its January 1st, 2027 estimate may differ from standard UN projections or other publicly available estimates.

This description was generated by AI. edited by human