Will this question have a percentage <50% after one day?
30
50Ṁ6144
resolved Oct 17
Resolved
N/A

Just this simple question, try to guess!

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@SirSalty @DieterRasse

Since the creator has not shown up in over 1 month to clarify which understanding they meant, I am resolving this N/A so people can have their mana back.

If the creator shows up later and declares exactly what they meant, we would have the opportunity to re-resolve a specific way.

@DieterRasse Please resolve this question

From what I can tell it was at 57% after 24 hours?

I unresolved it trusting the comments but actually think you guys are wrong?

predictedYES

@DavidChee The way I interpreted this was at any time after one day and not exactly after one day.

predictedNO

@Akzzz123 I've seen this type of question before, and it was always at closing time..

predictedNO

@DavidChee If youre not sure abt the answer maybe just give the mana back to everyone…

predictedYES

@Janealexinee In my experience, when creators refer to market close they usually mention that somewhere. But someone else in this thread interpreted it as market close too, so maybe I missed something.

predictedYES

@Janealexinee
Example of similar market that is not at closing time:
https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-this-market-ever-go-below-69
(description: excluding the first minute)

Also what AK said

predictedYES

@SirSalty The question is just really ambigious I guess. Here are three interpretation of the market:
1. Resolves YES iff market% < 50% on exactly 24 hours after market creation
2. Resolves YES iff market% < 50% at any point of time from 24 hours after market creation ti market close <-- My interpretation
3. Resolves YES iff market% < 50% at market close

I would say that the most natural interpretation for "after" is any time following the stated time, it is also the dictionary definition but eh. I am content with any sort of final call in whatever direction.

predictedYES

@DieterRasse The market was <50% after a day. Please resolve this correctly.

@SavioMak I also saw it, but "after one day" could also just mean < 50% after closing. 🤷

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