Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100? | Manifold

Conditional upon me trying, will I become POTUS by 2100?

32

1kṀ3963

2100

16%

chance

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1W

1M

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If I announce my candidacy for President of the United States by 2100, will I successfully hold that office for at least one year (365 days)?

I will begin to meet all constitutional requirements for President of the United States in the 2044 election cycle.

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predictedNO

I'd love to sell out of this market but there's so little liquidity

Does trying mean "Attempts to get on the ballot" or "get involved in politics and start trying to build a resume towards an eventual run"? What's the line where it counts as trying?

predictedYES

@Weepinbell trying means announce my candidacy

AGI before devansh can run for president 😭

predictedYES

@JohnGrossWhitaker can't resolve the manifold market if you're dead

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