Will Kīlauea volcano produce a lava fountain episode (Episode 43) before February 1st, 2026?
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Ṁ100Ṁ60Mar 30
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Kīlauea has been erupting episodically since December 23, 2024. Episode 42 ended February 15. USGS models forecast Episode 43 onset during March 10–16. This market resolves YES if USGS confirms Episode 43 begins before February 1st, 2026 (HST). Resolves NO if the month ends without fountaining.
Resolution source: USGS HVO daily updates — usgs.gov/volcanoes/kilauea/volcano-updates
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