Lake Kivu erupt before 2030? | Manifold

Lake Kivu erupt before 2030?

4

1kṀ1507

2029

15%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Following the latest RealLifeLore video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu

As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.

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