When Nate Silver's Next Model Comes Out, What Odds Will It Give the Democratic Nominee?
469
1kṀ200kresolved Jul 30
100%98.6%
36-45%
0.1%
25% or less
0.1%
26-35%
0.1%
46-55%
1.1%
56-65%
0.0%
66-75%
0.0%
76% or more
What do we think Nate's model will say about the Democratic Candidate (likely Harris) compared to Trump? If multiple versions of the model are put out, this will resolve based on the outcome of the candidate most likely to be the Democratic Candidate based on the Manifold at the time that the model is published. In the unlikely event that Silver's model is not published again this year, all these options will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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