By the End of the year what percentage of the code on Github will be AI generated? | Manifold

By the End of the year what percentage of the code on Github will be AI generated?

️ Technology AI OpenAI AGI

Basic

6

Ṁ3.9k

Dec 31

1D

1W

1M

ALL

88%

0-50%

10%

50-60%

8%

95-100%

5%

60-65%

5%

65-70%

5%

70-75%

5%

75-80%

5%

80-85%

5%

85-90%

5%

90-95%

https://decrypt.co/147191/no-human-programmers-five-years-ai-stability-ceo

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bought Ṁ5 95-100% YES

"95% of the code on github is ai generated" factoid actualy just statistical error. average code is 1% ai generated. Java Georg, who lives in my server rack & generates ten billion lines a day, is an outlier adn should not have been counted

95-100%

@DavidShawe0kg do you need someone to unresolve this? presumably it was a mistake

It should have been linked.

bought Ṁ20 0-50% YES

@DavidShawe0kg this should have been a linked multiple choice market (so it sums to 100%)

How are you planning to measure this?

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By the end of 2024, will there be a major security vulnerability reported to be caused by AI generated code?

Will an AI system be able to fully refactor a 10k+ line codebase before 2026 ?

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