Will Ed Zitron make a testable prediction about his claimed AI crisis?
4
1kṀ2420
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
NO

Will Ed Zitron make a specific, testable prediction regarding his claims about a so called “Subprime AI Crisis”?

https://www.wheresyoured.at/subprimeai/

To qualify, he has to put it in writing on his blog, to a level of detail that would constitute a good question on a prediction market.

2024-09-18 clarification (copied from a comment, below): For the purposes of how I resolve this market, Zitron has to:

  1. write on his blog proper (not a tweet, not a comment)

  2. a resolution criteria that includes

    1. a {quantitative, testable, verifiable, measurable} prediction with

    2. a clear resolution date

  3. scope it to his posited AI crisis generally, not some subpart of it (such as the future of OpenAI)

2024-09-19 update: If you find a prediction by Zitron that meets the criteria above, please post here. I will try to check his blog periodically.

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