
Will Ed Zitron make a specific, testable prediction regarding his claims about a so called “Subprime AI Crisis”?
https://www.wheresyoured.at/subprimeai/
To qualify, he has to put it in writing on his blog, to a level of detail that would constitute a good question on a prediction market.
2024-09-18 clarification (copied from a comment, below): For the purposes of how I resolve this market, Zitron has to:
write on his blog proper (not a tweet, not a comment)
a resolution criteria that includes
a {quantitative, testable, verifiable, measurable} prediction with
a clear resolution date
scope it to his posited AI crisis generally, not some subpart of it (such as the future of OpenAI)
2024-09-19 update: If you find a prediction by Zitron that meets the criteria above, please post here. I will try to check his blog periodically.
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