Tests a specific public prediction made in May 2026 that Waymo would have 12,000 vehicles nationwide by 2030 (source). This market raises the bar to 25,000 to probe how far above the cited figure traders expect the fleet to land.

Resolves YES if Waymo publicly reports, or independent reporting verifies, more than 25,000 commercial Waymo vehicles in active US service as of Dec 31, 2030.

Resolves NO if the figure is at or below 25,000 on that date.

Resolution source: Waymo's public disclosures, Alphabet financial reports, or credible independent reporting (e.g., from Bloomberg, Reuters, or specialized trade publications) as of Dec 31, 2030.